Decoding the Geopolitical Transition

The Rise of the Geostrategic Company

A growing number of firms have acquired a strategic significance that extends well beyond their commercial success. Their success is measured not only by market performance, but also by their contribution to strategic autonomy, technological leadership, national resilience, and geopolitical power.

Geostrategic Mobility
A New Investment Lens for Private Equity

forthcoming

The Minimal Viable Company:
Graceful Degradation
as an Organizational Principle

The discussion of the Minimal Viable Company emerged primarily from IT continuity and cybersecurity concerns. But to reach its full strategic potential, it must move beyond cybersecurity and engage more fundamentally with organizational design.

Geostrategic Mobility as a Driver of Corporate Competitiveness

Corporate competitiveness is based on the ability of companies to remain credible, connected, and strategically agile within and between geopolitical system spaces. Geostrategic mobility moves beyond geopolitical risk management and resilience. Strategic identity, system-space awareness, and mobility profiling are becoming central to corporate strategy under conditions of geopolitical fragmentation.

Bridging Fragmentation: Growth Strategies of Firms in Geopolitical Middle Powers

Geopolitical fragmentation does not only present itself as risk, but also offers openings to build out competitive advantages. Firms headquartered in a geopolitical middle power should use a calibrated "bridging strategy" more proactively.

Lessons from Ukraine and Iran: Structural and Adaptive Resilience in Modern Conflict

The Ukraine and Iran wars have produced a striking and analytically important observation: states facing materially superior adversaries are demonstrating levels of resilience that conventional models struggle to explain.

Buying Time, Creating Options: Buffers as the Temporal Foundation of Resilience

Buffers are re-emerging as essential instruments for maintaining resilience in a volatile environment. As such, their role and functions need to be reassessed.

Competitiveness Under Geopolitical Pressure: Expanding the Efficiency - Resilience Frontier

Competitive advantage no longer lies in maximizing efficiency at a point in time, but in restoring and sustaining performance across shifting geopolitical regimes.

Stress-Testing Corporate Resilience to Geopolitical Risk: A Framework

Rather than asking what geopolitical event may occur, geopolitical stress testing asks under  which conditions a firm’s operating model would come under strain—operationally, financially,  or strategically.

Geopolitical Stress Test for European Banks

The 2026 thematic stress test of the European Central Bank (ECB) on geopolitical risk marks a turning point in European banking supervision. Here are some pointers to explore.

Measuring Geopolitical Distance

Trade patterns, capital allocation, supply-chain design, and technology flows are no longer determined primarily by efficiency considerations. The dominating variable is geopolitical alignment - building corporate strategy around alignment builds competitiveness.

Geostrategic Asset Allocation for Reserve and Sovereign Wealth Managers

Investors – and especially official investors – also seek geopolitical assurance in another form: they invest in the assets of regions that are reliable security partners and can honour alliances with hard power.

Code Book 4.5: Geopolitical Theatre Ratings

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